310 days: Seasonally adjusted TFAC

Quick recap: I have a plan to raise $10,000 for some awesome organizations by Sept. 22, 2013 – the day I run in Ironman Lake Tahoe. Over one month in and so far we are on track. Raised so far: $1,025!

You might have heard the phrase “seasonally adjusted” when listening to the monthly economic reports on the news or reading them in the newspaper – particularly during the recent election when job reports and other economic data were being released and used as political fodder. Or perhaps you now just notice it in retrospect since I’ve brought it up in casual blogosphere conversation. Maybe you now even find yourself asking, “What the heck does THAT mean?”

In a nutshell, certain economic conditions are variable based on some recognized pattern, such as the seasons. Agricultural production is the most straightforward – you don’t harvest many apples in Washington during Winter, for example. Jobs data tends to follow similar trends – farm jobs increase during the summer months, retail jobs are more abundant near the holidays, political pundits are in high demand in the months leading up to Presidential elections, etc.

“Seasonally adjusted” economics are a way of statistically removing this cyclical seasonal nature from the data to understand an underlying trend that may have otherwise been obscured by the expected seasonal variation.

Alright… fine… I am more than certain that right about now (assuming you have continued reading this far) you are wondering what the bloody heck an economics lesson is doing leading off a Tri-ing for a Challenge blog post!

Or, as Lauren once told me, “That was a pretty good blog post once you got past your boring, rambling introduction.” I have a feeling she will be providing me a similar note on this post…

Anyway, back to the story. You might have noticed that the Tri-ing for a Challenge blog started off strong nearly two months ago. 5+ posts per week. Challenges and fundraising opportunities left and right. All kinds of energy and enthusiasm. But now we have moved into a 2 post-per-week cycle on Monday and Friday. Nary a fundraising opportunity since very early October. No events, yet. No “real” challenges in a while. What gives?

You are witnessing seasonally adjusted blog posting and charitable fundraising in action! It is the holiday season. You all are focused on other things. Fundraising is RIDICULOUSLY difficult at this time of year when we are all channeling our hard earned dollars and energy on holiday presents and preparations.

And I get it. I am dealing with all of that, too.

Don’t worry, I still have a very strong fire in my belly for this entire cause, and my training is 100% on course. We will most assuredly reach that $10,000 goal. No. Correction: we will SMASH that $10,000 milestone.

The goals before 2012 gently glides to its graceful end will be few; these will be introduced to you soon.

In the interim, I hope you enjoy your holiday season and your “seasonally adjusted” TFAC blog posts.

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